Motorcycle YTD Statitics

2016 First Quarter	2016	2015	Growth (%)
Total motorcycle exports	1,728,106	1,903,505	-9.21

2016 First Quarter	2016	2015	Growth (%)
Total motorcycle production	3,981,653	4,604,847	-13.53

They seem to be on a trajectory to near half of the production claims of 2009?
At 4M a quarter that would only total to 12M annually, the annual production in 2009 was a claimed 25M units. With an average drop in production of 7% over 7 years, that sound about correct.

I'm surprised the numbers are still so high given the success of the outright ban of motorcycles across the country. Any idea of the export vs domestic consumption numbers?

That would take some time to filter out, as each manufacturer is different, the proportions of total production domestic to exports over the time frame. Some export primarily and other sell primarily domestically. Then another problem is that all names on the two lists are not the same for the top 50, a company that distributes its production to both is on both lists, while others are only on one or the other.

Name	P15/Q1	P16/Q1	E15	E16	YTD P change	YTD E change	Domestic	D%	E%
Loncin	297,879	305,023	228,469	211,783	2.40%	-7.30%	93,240	30.57%	69.43%
Lifan	322,141	300,362	135,682	144,040	-6.76%	6.16%	156,322	52.04%	47.96%
Zongshen	215,048	205,179	92,869	80,358	-4.59%	-13.47%	124,821	60.84%	39.16%

P (total production), E (export), D (Domestic) 2015 vs 2016 Q1

It is worth mentioning the growth of car sales over the same time frame.

http://left-lane.com/wp-content/uplo...-2000-2015.png

Same comparison for the CSG holdings.

make	P15/Q4	P16/Q4	E15	E16	YTD p change	YTD E change	Domestic	D%	E%
Jialing	216,528	120,047	23,555	17,197	-44.56%	-26.99%	102,850	85.67%	14.33%
Jianshe	166,647	97,867	45,527	36,124	-41.27%	-20.65%	61,743	63.09%	36.91%
Qingqi	32,142	37,681	25,143	26,330	17.23%	4.72%	11,351	30.12%	69.88%

make	P15/Q4	P16/Q4	E15	E16	YTD p change	YTD E change	Domestic	D%	E%
Honda Wuyang	267,995	236,462	67,957	81,104	-11.77%	19.35%	155,358	65.70%	34.30%
Honda Sundiro	148,765	149,354	78,774	69,928	0.40%	-11.23%	79,426	53.18%	46.82%

make	P15/Q4	P16/Q4	E15	E16	YTD p change	YTD E change	Domestic	D%	E%
Luoyang	227,302	184,816	54,181	53,245	-18.69%	-1.73%	131,571	71.19%	28.81%
Dayang	183,854	153,381	38,313	32,752	-16.57%	-14.51%	120,629	78.65%	21.35%

make	P15/Q4	P16/Q4	E15	E16	YTD p change	YTD E change	Domestic	D%	E%
Shineray	51,090	21,156	45,124	17,470	-58.59%	-61.28%	3,686	17.42%	82.58%

make	P15/Q4	P16/Q4	E15	E16	YTD p change	YTD E change	Domestic	D%	E%
Jincheng	53,219	32,844	11,919	2,360	-38.29%	-80.20%	30,484	92.81%	7.19%

make	P15/Q4	P16/Q4	E15	E16	YTD p change	YTD E change	Domestic	D%	E%
Senke	20,628	24,589	20,262	24,382	19.20%	20.33%	207	0.84%	99.16%

Senke has nearly abandoned the domestic market or they are seeking to start domestic sales?

Their production is up and is nearly 100% exported.

Overall sales of 250cc models, for the entire industry, are up nearly 10% for the first quarter 2016, increased over 25% for the month of April 2016, seasonality, sales of 250cc models will hit records if the trend, and it likely will, persists.

Senkes success is likely due to its release of its Raptor and it being sold in the UK as a Lexmoto as well as in Poland as a Romet.
http://www.chinamotorworld.com/ke/at...0906_54035.jpg

Senke developed a very intriguing 300cc model they call the T-Leopard, intended for export.
That model may actually be better suited for Domestic sales.
http://www.senke.cn/cn/yxh/edit/Uplo...1316270750.jpg
I believe that both Romet and Lexmoto failed at taking these decent offerings to the next level.
Romet could have offered both of these under its recently acquired Zipp brand as Lexmoto could have offered these under its Pulse Brand.
Neither seems interested in taking up the SK300, setting the SK125 up under a different brand then following it with a 300cc version would have gotten attention.

If they want to increase the A2 sales, then it would be best done by offering a logical next step model and in alignment of brand differentiation. Since Romet and Lexmoto both already have the built infrastructure of a dealer support network, then differentiate offerings by brand and in that offer OEM specific lines within that.

make	P15/Q4	P16/Q4	E15	E16	YTD p change	YTD E change	Domestic	D%	E%
Dalong	81,339	72,003	NA	NA	-11.48%	NA	NA	NA	NA

Dalong is listed at 16th in the 2016 list of top 50 producers.

Dalong, translates to Big Dragon, goes also by Jinan Motorcycle Industry Company.

Dalong was separated from the Qingqi Group, it sells under at least 15 different brands and exports to over 30 countries. One brand name is Pioneer

The Qingqi Group no longer exists, it was restructure with Jinan Qingqi retaining the brand name.
The remaining group part named Dalong.

It has been reported on more then a few occasions that products manufactured by Dalong have been exported using the WMI assigned for Jinan Qingqi.

When the restructuring occurred, both new companies retained the technology, however the brand name Qingqi is exclusive to the Jinan Qingqi manufactured models.

The little classic GS125 variant is manufactured by both manufactures.
As is their DR200 variant, with either the Jinan Qingqi Suzuki GS125/150/250 engines.
These products are distributed across the globe and sold under many brands.
For example, the Dalong versions are sold through lexmoto in the UK.
The Qingqi version offered through Sinnis.
It does not stop there, HMC, Mash and others offer the same models.
In the USA the Dual purpose is offered under the brand SSR and the classic offered through CCW. The SRR uses a Qingqi 249cc OHC engine and the CCW Classic diverges from all the others offering its version with a 229cc OHV engine manufactured by Lifan.

It is not clear were the cooperation between the two entities begins and ends, other than Jinan Qingqi is the source of all the Suzuki engines both offer, it is not clear how the Automobile Association of China counts exports other than their published statistics list reveals the top 50 producers and exporters. In that Dalong is listed as a top producer and not as a top exporter.

I am not certain, however Dalong may be under investigation for falsification of issuing certificates used to count sales within the domestic market. I believe these certificates are utilized to gain government rebates by end purchasers and primarily as an incentive to those in rural areas. The rebates reduce the final purchase price and also bolster sales. Investigations revealed inconsistencies in some counting methods. The historic restructuring of the once Qingqi Group was the result of what I believe was an investigation into fiscal improprieties within the group.

make	P15/Q4	P16/Q4	E15	E16	YTD p change	YTD E change	Domestic	D%	E%
Dihao	NA	NA	10,250	4,758	NA	-53.58%	NA	NA	NA

Listed as 47th of the top 50 exporters, not listed in top 50 production.

Lexmoto dropped two of their lowest priced models, that were manufactured by DIHAO “low consumption”. Dihao offers models under the brand Haotion, the discontinued models were the Arrow and Vixen.
Romets subsidiary brand in Poland named Zipp offers the once Lexmoto Arrow as their Maniac 125.

FOSHAN FOSTI MOTORCYCLE MANUFACTURING CO., LTD.
This manufacturer does not show up on either the top 50 producers or exporters lists, manufactures FOSTI, ZNEN, FXD series motorcycles.
Their F31 model is being imported by Lexmoto as their ZSA 125 and by the Polish brand Junak as their 126, also all of the Junak 122 models are soured through Fosti as well as their 127.

make	P15/Q4	P16/Q4	E15	E16	YTD p change	YTD E change	Domestic	D%	E%
Wonjan	30,342	31,052	8,714	7,235	2.34%	-16.97%	23,817	76.70%	23.30%
	P10/Q4	P11/Q4	E10	E11	YTD p change	YTD E change	Domestic	D%	E%
Wonjan	21,448	27,496	4,881	9,217	28.20%	88.83%	18,279	66.48%	33.52%
		5yr change		5yr change
		13%		-27%

Comparing Q1 2011 to Q1 2016, Wonjans total production is up 13% and exports are down 27%.
Since 2011 Wonjan has decreased the amount of total production that is exported by 10%.

Wonjan offers a copy of the Suzuki Volty, they offer it with a 150cc engine.
http://i784.photobucket.com/albums/y...Wonjan/150.jpg

7,689.00 CNY

=

1,167.32 USD

Then offer its with a 249cc engine.
http://i784.photobucket.com/albums/y...njan/250_1.jpg

17,604.00 CNY

=

2,671.92 USD

Wonjan created two subpar renditions of some Ducati models, these got attention but not in any good way.
I personally would love to know how many they have sold since introduction and also read any reviews of the bikes.
They are powered by a 300cc double overhead four valve engine, that Wonjan sources from Loncin, the engine is a copy of a Kawasaki.
They are sold in China, I have yet to see any exports.

21,000.00 CNY

=

3,186.84 USD

The allusion of options, in sales offering too many options overwhelms the consumer, when the option is not real as in contrived then it offends the consumer.
Within the history of the Chinese society they historically had few options, that resulted in today’s society wanting many options, in that they relish in the options. Were typically a product may have three color choices the Chinese opt for twenty.
If you consider the Alibaba listing for Wonjan they list each individual model several times. Rather than just listing the ten offerings they create ten pages of duplicate advertisements. The allusion of options, its rather insulting to the sensibility of any potential client.

Is this thread informative or what? :icon10: